Let's break this down. We know how much luminosity is produced at the Sun. This energy per second. If we divide that luminosity by the amount energy created in each reaction, then we have the number of reactions occurring per second. Ah, but for every reaction, we get 2 neutrinos, so we can find the number of neutrinos created every second (or neutrino generation rate).
But we need to know the number of neutrinos passing through the Earth. If we assume that all the neutrinos created in the core travel out isotropically, or in equal amounts in each direction, then the fraction that intercept the Earth will be the ratio of the circular cross-section of the Earth divided by the total area of the sphere of radius the Earth's orbit.
Let's do the first part. The Sun's luminosity is about
J/s. The reaction rate is thus
per sec. (Remember the problem asks us to estimate.)
We get 2 neutrinos for every reaction, so to order of magnitude, this number
is also the neutrino generation rate.
Now what fraction pass through the Earth. The cross-sectional area
of the Earth (i.e., the area of the Earth as seen in projection) is
, for
km. The spherical area of the Earth's orbit
is
, where
is 1 AU, or
km. The ratio
of the two areas is about
. That means that only 1 in 10 billion
of all the neutrinos produced in the Sun will pass through the Earth.
Multiplying those two numbers - the neutrino generation rate by the
fraction intercepted - give approximately neutrinos/second.